Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tonbridge Angelsvs
Torquay UnitedThe model puts Torquay United at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Tonbridge Angels have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Torquay United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tonbridge Angels have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Torquay United is priced at 2.336.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Tonbridge Angels at 36%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Torquay United at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Tonbridge Angels is priced at 2.675. The draw is priced at 3.98. Torquay United is priced at 2.336.
Tonbridge Angels have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Torquay United have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Tonbridge Angels have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Torquay United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tonbridge Angels or Torquay United?
Our model rates Torquay United as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay United?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings: 3 Tonbridge Angels wins, 1 draws, 4 Torquay United wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.