Tadley Calleva vs Dartford: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tadley Callevavs
DartfordThe model puts Dartford at 74%. The model leans toward Dartford. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Dartford have 4 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Dartford is priced at 1.275.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Tadley Calleva at 11%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Dartford at 74%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Dartford. Tadley Calleva is priced at 9.2. The draw is priced at 6.15. Dartford is priced at 1.275.
Dartford have 4 wins in their last 4 matches. Dartford are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 45% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tadley Calleva or Dartford?
Our model rates Dartford as the most likely outcome at 74% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tadley Calleva vs Dartford?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.