Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Saint Kitts and Nevisvs
CubaThe model puts Cuba at 47%. The model leans toward Cuba. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Saint Kitts and Nevis have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cuba have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Saint Kitts and Nevis have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Cuba is priced at 1.95.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Saint Kitts and Nevis at 27%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Cuba at 47%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Cuba. Saint Kitts and Nevis is priced at 3.465. The draw is priced at 3.6. Cuba is priced at 1.95.
Saint Kitts and Nevis have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Cuba have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Saint Kitts and Nevis have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Cuba have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Saint Kitts and Nevis or Cuba?
Our model rates Cuba as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Saint Kitts and Nevis wins, 1 draws, 1 Cuba wins.
Odds movement
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guyana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Puerto Rico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Dominica | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Cayman Islands | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.