Barbados vs Bermuda: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Barbadosvs
BermudaThe model puts Barbados at 47%. The model leans toward Barbados. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Bermuda.
- +The head-to-head record favours Barbados (3-2-1).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Barbados have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bermuda have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Barbados have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Barbados is priced at 1.95.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Barbados at 47%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Bermuda at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Barbados. Barbados is priced at 1.95. The draw is priced at 3.45. Bermuda is priced at 3.615.
Barbados have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Bermuda have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Barbados have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Bermuda have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Barbados or Bermuda?
Our model rates Barbados as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Barbados vs Bermuda?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Barbados wins, 2 draws, 1 Bermuda wins.
Odds movement
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guyana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Puerto Rico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Dominica | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Cayman Islands | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.