CONCACAF Nations League

Martinique vs Honduras: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Martiniquevs

Honduras

Our predictionHonduras to win

Model score: High · 62/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Honduras at 48%. The model leans toward Honduras. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours Honduras.

Win probabilities

1 · Martinique25%

Draw26%

2 · Honduras48%

1 · MartiniqueDraw2 · Honduras

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.97+2.4%

1X2Honduras2.00+2.1%

1X2Martinique3.50-1.1%

1X2Draw3.40-1.1%

BTTSYes1.75-2.4%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Martinique

Honduras

Most likely scorelines

1-111.9%

0-111.9%

1-29.5%

0-29.5%

1-07.4%

0-07.4%

Recent form

MartiniqueLLLDL

HondurasWLLDD

Expected goals

1.00Martinique

1.60Honduras

Over 2.5 goals48%

Both teams to score50%

Match DNA

Martinique Honduras

Key points

Martinique have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Honduras have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Honduras is priced at 2.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Honduras win2.00Fair (+2.1%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	12	10	5	2
1	7	12	10	5	2
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Martinique at 25%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Honduras at 48%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Honduras. Martinique is priced at 3.5. The draw is priced at 3.4. Honduras is priced at 2.

Honduras have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Martinique have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Honduras have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →