CONCACAF Nations League

Bonaire vs Grenada: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Bonairevs

Grenada

Our predictionGrenada to win

Model score: Low · 25/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Grenada at 51%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Bonaire23%

Draw26%

2 · Grenada51%

1 · BonaireDraw2 · Grenada

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.92+2.5%

1X2Bonaire4.050.0%

1X2Draw3.580.0%

1X2Grenada1.810.0%

BTTSYes1.79-2.5%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Bonaire

Grenada

Most likely scorelines

0-112.4%

1-111.5%

0-210.3%

1-29.6%

0-07.4%

1-06.9%

Expected goals

0.93Bonaire

1.67Grenada

Over 2.5 goals48%

Both teams to score49%

Match DNA

Bonaire Grenada

Key points

Grenada is priced at 1.81.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Grenada win1.81Fair

Double chanceGrenada or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	12	10	6	2
1	7	12	10	5	2
2	3	5	4	2	1
3		2	1
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Bonaire at 23%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Grenada at 51%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Grenada. Bonaire is priced at 4.055. The draw is priced at 3.58. Grenada is priced at 1.81.

The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →