Kosovo vs Austria: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kosovovs
AustriaThe model puts Austria at 50%. The model leans toward Austria. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Austria.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kosovo have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Austria have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kosovo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Austria is priced at 1.965.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kosovo at 28%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Austria at 50%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Austria. Kosovo is priced at 3.2. The draw is priced at 4.3. Austria is priced at 1.965.
Kosovo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Kosovo have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Austria have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kosovo or Austria?
Our model rates Austria as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kosovo vs Austria?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Kosovo wins, 0 draws, 0 Austria wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 4 |  Republic of North Macedonia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.