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UEFA Nations League

Kosovo vs Austria: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Kosovo KosovovsAustria Austria
Our predictionAustria to win
Model score: High · 62/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Austria at 49%. The model leans toward Austria. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

✗Our prediction missed (predicted: Austria · actual: Draw)

Win probabilities

1 · Kosovo24%
Draw27%
2 · Austria49%
1 · KosovoDraw2 · Austria
Full team comparison →
Team strength rating
Kosovo
38
Austria
58

Most likely scorelines

0-112.1%
1-111.8%
0-29.8%
1-29.6%
0-07.4%
1-07.2%

Recent form

KosovoDLLLD
AustriaDWLLL

Expected goals

0.97Kosovo
xG
1.63Austria
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score50%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Kosovo Austria

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Austria win2.00Fair (+1.6%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07121052
17121052
246531
3122
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Austria2.00+1.6%
1X2Kosovo3.84-0.8%
1X2Draw3.40-0.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Kosovo at 24%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Austria at 49%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Austria. Kosovo is priced at 3.84. The draw is priced at 3.4. Austria is priced at 2.005.

Kosovo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Kosovo have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Austria have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Kosovo or Austria?

Our model rates Austria as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Kosovo vs Austria?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 1 Kosovo wins, 0 draws, 0 Austria wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.