Cumnock Juniors vs Auchinleck Talbot: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cumnock Juniorsvs
Auchinleck TalbotThe model puts Auchinleck Talbot at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Auchinleck Talbot.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cumnock Juniors have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Auchinleck Talbot have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cumnock Juniors have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Auchinleck Talbot is priced at 2.16.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Cumnock Juniors at 35%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Auchinleck Talbot at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Cumnock Juniors is priced at 2.55. The draw is priced at 4.1. Auchinleck Talbot is priced at 2.16.
Cumnock Juniors have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Cumnock Juniors have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Auchinleck Talbot have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cumnock Juniors or Auchinleck Talbot?
Our model rates Auchinleck Talbot as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cumnock Juniors vs Auchinleck Talbot?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 2 Cumnock Juniors wins, 0 draws, 0 Auchinleck Talbot wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.