Monterrey (Women) vs Club America (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Monterrey (Women)vs
Club America (Women)The model puts Club America (Women) at 47%. The model leans toward Club America (Women). Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Monterrey (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club America (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Monterrey (Women) have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Club America (Women) is priced at 1.96.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Monterrey (Women) at 29%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Club America (Women) at 47%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Club America (Women). Monterrey (Women) is priced at 3.32. The draw is priced at 4.1. Club America (Women) is priced at 1.96.
Monterrey (Women) have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Club America (Women) have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Monterrey (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Club America (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 64% for both teams to score. The model gives 63% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Monterrey (Women) or Club America (Women)?
Our model rates Club America (Women) as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Monterrey (Women) vs Club America (Women)?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Monterrey (Women) wins, 2 draws, 6 Club America (Women) wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Mexico. Liga MX. Women - Apertura| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey (Women) | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 35:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Tigres de la UANL (Women) | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 29:9 | 22 |
| 3 |  Juarez (Women) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Toluca (Women) | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Leon (Women) | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 6 |  Santos Laguna (Women) | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12:20 | 12 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul (Women) | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 11:21 | 12 |
| 8 |  Atlante (Women) | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 9 |  Queretaro (Women) | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 10:21 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.