Cyprus vs Latvia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cyprusvs
LatviaThe model puts Cyprus at 58%. The model leans toward Cyprus. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Cyprus.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cyprus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Latvia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cyprus is priced at 1.7.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Cyprus at 58%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Latvia at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Cyprus. Cyprus is priced at 1.7. The draw is priced at 3.78. Latvia is priced at 4.98.
The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cyprus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Latvia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cyprus or Latvia?
Our model rates Cyprus as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cyprus vs Latvia?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Cyprus wins, 2 draws, 0 Latvia wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League C| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albania | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Finland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Belarus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 4 |  San Marino | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.