CONCACAF Nations League

Sint Maarten vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Sint Maartenvs

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Our predictionSaint Vincent and the Grenadines to win

Model score: Low · 29/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Saint Vincent and the Grenadines at 54%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Sint Maarten21%

Draw25%

2 · Saint Vincent and the Grenadines54%

1 · Sint MaartenDraw2 · Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Full team comparison →

Team strength rating

Sint Maarten

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Most likely scorelines

0-112.9%

0-211.2%

1-111.2%

1-29.7%

0-07.4%

0-36.4%

Expected goals

0.87Sint Maarten

1.73Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Over 2.5 goals48%

Both teams to score48%

Match DNA

Sint Maarten Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Key points

The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines is priced at 1.71.
The market leans toward Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines win1.71Fair

Double chanceSaint Vincent and the Grenadines or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	13	11	6	3
1	6	11	10	6	2
2	3	5	4	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Sint Maarten4.450.0%

1X2Draw3.700.0%

1X2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines1.710.0%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Saint Vincent and the Grenadines at 54%. The model puts Sint Maarten at 21%. The model puts the draw at 25%.

Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines is priced at 1.71. Sint Maarten is priced at 4.45. The draw is priced at 3.7.

The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →