Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al Kholoodvs
Al-QadisiyahThe model puts Al-Qadisiyah at 67%. The model leans toward Al-Qadisiyah. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Al-Qadisiyah.
- +The head-to-head record favours Al-Qadisiyah (1-1-8).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al Kholood have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Qadisiyah have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Kholood have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Al-Qadisiyah is priced at 1.444.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al Kholood at 15%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Al-Qadisiyah at 67%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Al-Qadisiyah. Al Kholood is priced at 5.91. The draw is priced at 4.805. Al-Qadisiyah is priced at 1.444.
Al Kholood have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Al-Qadisiyah have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Al Kholood have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Al-Qadisiyah have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al Kholood or Al-Qadisiyah?
Our model rates Al-Qadisiyah as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 1 Al Kholood wins, 1 draws, 8 Al-Qadisiyah wins.
League table
Saudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Riyadh | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23:5 | 18 |
| 2 |  Al-Ittihad Jeddah | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Al Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Al-Qadisiyah | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Neom SC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:6 | 15 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Draih | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 9 |  Ettifaq Dammam | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al Hazem Rass | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 |  Al-Riyadh SC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 12 |  Al Feiha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 13 |  Al-Khaleej | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 14 |  Al Shabab Riyadh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 15 |  Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 16 |  Al-Faisaly Harmah | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 17 |  Al-Taawon | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:13 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.