Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) vs Nagano Parceiro (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women)vs
Nagano Parceiro (Women)The model puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) at 62%. The model leans toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women). Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Nagano Parceiro (Women).
- −The head-to-head record favours Nagano Parceiro (Women) (3-2-7).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nagano Parceiro (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) is priced at 1.36.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) at 62%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Nagano Parceiro (Women) at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women). Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) is priced at 1.36. The draw is priced at 4.35. Nagano Parceiro (Women) is priced at 6.96.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Nagano Parceiro (Women) have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Nagano Parceiro (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) or Nagano Parceiro (Women)?
Our model rates Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) vs Nagano Parceiro (Women)?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) wins, 2 draws, 7 Nagano Parceiro (Women) wins.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 2 |  Nojima Stella (Women) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 |  NTV Beleza (Women) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 4 |  AS Elfen Saitama (Women) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 5 |  RB Omiya Ardija (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 |  MyNavi Sendai (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 8 |  Cerezo Osaka (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 9 |  Albirex Niigata (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 10 |  Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 11 |  INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:11 | 0 |
| 12 | Nagano Parceiro (Women) | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.