Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) vs NTV Beleza (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts NTV Beleza (Women) at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours NTV Beleza (Women).
- −The head-to-head record favours Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) (8-5-2).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- NTV Beleza (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- NTV Beleza (Women) is priced at 2.23.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) at 35%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts NTV Beleza (Women) at 41%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) is priced at 2.61. The draw is priced at 3.44. NTV Beleza (Women) is priced at 2.23.
Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. NTV Beleza (Women) have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. NTV Beleza (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) or NTV Beleza (Women)?
Our model rates NTV Beleza (Women) as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) vs NTV Beleza (Women)?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) wins, 5 draws, 2 NTV Beleza (Women) wins.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:6 | 9 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 7 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 7 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 7 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 6 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:7 | 6 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:6 | 5 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:7 | 4 | |
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:11 | 0 | |
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.