Belize vs French Guiana: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts French Guiana at 43%. French Guiana have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours French Guiana.
- +The head-to-head record favours French Guiana (2-2-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- French Guiana have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Belize have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- French Guiana are on 2 wins in a row.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
French Guiana have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Belize have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
French Guiana have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Belize have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
The model puts French Guiana at 43%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Belize at 29%.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 52% for both teams to score.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Belize or French Guiana?
Our model rates French Guiana as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Belize vs French Guiana?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings: 2 Belize wins, 2 draws, 4 French Guiana wins.
Odds movement
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:5 | 1 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:7 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.