Guyana vs Dominica: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Guyanavs
DominicaThe model puts Guyana at 82%. The model leans toward Guyana. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Guyana.
- −The head-to-head record favours Dominica (0-1-3).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Guyana have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dominica have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Guyana is priced at 1.113.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 17 | 6 | ||||
| 2 | 19 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 15 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Guyana at 82%. The model puts the draw at 11%. The model puts Dominica at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Guyana. Guyana is priced at 1.113. The draw is priced at 8. Dominica is priced at 16.
Dominica have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Guyana have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Guyana are on 2 wins in a row. Dominica have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 25% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Guyana or Dominica?
Our model rates Guyana as the most likely outcome at 82% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Guyana vs Dominica?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 0 Guyana wins, 1 draws, 3 Dominica wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.