CONCACAF Nations League

Guyana vs Dominica: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Guyanavs

Dominica

Our predictionGuyana to win

Model score: High · 92/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Guyana at 85%. The model puts Dominica at 6%. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours Guyana.
−The head-to-head record favours Dominica (0-1-3).

Win probabilities

1 · Guyana85%

Draw9%

2 · Dominica6%

1 · GuyanaDraw2 · Dominica

Full team comparison →

Recent form

GuyanaWWDLD

DominicaLLWLL

Team strength rating

Guyana

Dominica

Most likely scorelines

2-020.2%

1-017.3%

3-015.8%

4-09.2%

0-07.4%

2-15.4%

Expected goals

2.33Guyana

0.27Dominica

Over 2.5 goals48%

Both teams to score21%

Match DNA

Guyana Dominica

Key points

Guyana are on 2 wins in a row.
Dominica have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
Guyana is priced at 1.068.
Dominica is priced at 22.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Guyana win1.07Fair (-0.9%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1
0	7	2
1	17	5
2	20	5
3	16	4
4	9	2
5	4	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Dominica22.00+1.5%

1X2Draw9.60-0.6%

1X2Guyana1.07-0.9%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Guyana at 85%. The model puts Dominica at 6%. The model leans toward Guyana.

Guyana are on 2 wins in a row. Guyana have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dominica have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals. The model gives 21% for both teams to score.

Guyana is priced at 1.068. Dominica is priced at 22. The market leans toward Guyana.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →