AS Elfen Saitama (Women) vs JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
AS Elfen Saitama (Women)vs
JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women)The model puts JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) (4-4-7).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- AS Elfen Saitama (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AS Elfen Saitama (Women) have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) is priced at 2.215.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts AS Elfen Saitama (Women) at 30%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women). AS Elfen Saitama (Women) is priced at 3.11. The draw is priced at 3.58. JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) is priced at 2.215.
AS Elfen Saitama (Women) have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
AS Elfen Saitama (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. AS Elfen Saitama (Women) are on 2 wins in a row. JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, AS Elfen Saitama (Women) or JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women)?
Our model rates JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for AS Elfen Saitama (Women) vs JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women)?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 AS Elfen Saitama (Women) wins, 4 draws, 7 JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 2 |  Nojima Stella (Women) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 4 |  NTV Beleza (Women) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 5 |  MyNavi Sendai (Women) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:6 | 8 |
| 6 | AS Elfen Saitama (Women) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 8 |  RB Omiya Ardija (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Cerezo Osaka (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 10 |  Albirex Niigata (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 11 |  INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 12 |  Nagano Parceiro (Women) | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0:10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.