Albirex Niigata (Women) vs Cerezo Osaka (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Albirex Niigata (Women)vs
Cerezo Osaka (Women)The model puts Albirex Niigata (Women) at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Albirex Niigata (Women).
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Albirex Niigata (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cerezo Osaka (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Albirex Niigata (Women) have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Albirex Niigata (Women) is priced at 2.304.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Albirex Niigata (Women) at 43%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Cerezo Osaka (Women) at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Albirex Niigata (Women) is priced at 2.304. The draw is priced at 3.72. Cerezo Osaka (Women) is priced at 2.86.
Albirex Niigata (Women) have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Cerezo Osaka (Women) have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Albirex Niigata (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Cerezo Osaka (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 57% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Albirex Niigata (Women) or Cerezo Osaka (Women)?
Our model rates Albirex Niigata (Women) as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Albirex Niigata (Women) vs Cerezo Osaka (Women)?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 5 Albirex Niigata (Women) wins, 2 draws, 6 Cerezo Osaka (Women) wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 2 |  Nojima Stella (Women) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 4 |  NTV Beleza (Women) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 5 |  MyNavi Sendai (Women) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:6 | 8 |
| 6 |  AS Elfen Saitama (Women) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 8 |  RB Omiya Ardija (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 10 | Albirex Niigata (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 11 |  INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 12 |  Nagano Parceiro (Women) | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0:10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.