Nojima Stella (Women) vs RB Omiya Ardija (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nojima Stella (Women)vs
RB Omiya Ardija (Women)The model puts Nojima Stella (Women) at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Nojima Stella (Women) (5-4-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Nojima Stella (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- RB Omiya Ardija (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nojima Stella (Women) have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Nojima Stella (Women) is priced at 2.411.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Nojima Stella (Women) at 42%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts RB Omiya Ardija (Women) at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Nojima Stella (Women) is priced at 2.411. The draw is priced at 3.67. RB Omiya Ardija (Women) is priced at 2.736.
Nojima Stella (Women) have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. RB Omiya Ardija (Women) have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Nojima Stella (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Nojima Stella (Women) are on 3 wins in a row. RB Omiya Ardija (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. RB Omiya Ardija (Women) are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nojima Stella (Women) or RB Omiya Ardija (Women)?
Our model rates Nojima Stella (Women) as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nojima Stella (Women) vs RB Omiya Ardija (Women)?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 5 Nojima Stella (Women) wins, 4 draws, 1 RB Omiya Ardija (Women) wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Nojima Stella (Women) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 4 |  NTV Beleza (Women) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 5 |  MyNavi Sendai (Women) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:6 | 8 |
| 6 |  AS Elfen Saitama (Women) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 8 | RB Omiya Ardija (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Cerezo Osaka (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 10 |  Albirex Niigata (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 11 |  INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 12 |  Nagano Parceiro (Women) | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0:10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.