Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kazakhstanvs
Faroe IslandsThe model puts Kazakhstan at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Kazakhstan (2-2-1).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kazakhstan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Faroe Islands have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kazakhstan have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kazakhstan is priced at 2.505.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Kazakhstan at 39%. The model puts the draw at 32%. The model puts Faroe Islands at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Kazakhstan is priced at 2.505. The draw is priced at 2.936. Faroe Islands is priced at 3.192.
Kazakhstan have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Faroe Islands have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Kazakhstan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Faroe Islands have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kazakhstan or Faroe Islands?
Our model rates Kazakhstan as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 2 Kazakhstan wins, 2 draws, 1 Faroe Islands wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.