Switzerland vs Republic of North Macedonia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Switzerlandvs
Republic of North MacedoniaThe model puts Switzerland at 86%. The model leans toward Switzerland. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Switzerland.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Switzerland have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Republic of North Macedonia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Switzerland is priced at 1.115.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 11 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | 17 | 5 | ||||
| 3 | 16 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 12 | 4 | ||||
| 5 | 7 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Switzerland at 86%. The model puts the draw at 10%. The model puts Republic of North Macedonia at 4%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Switzerland. Switzerland is priced at 1.115. The draw is priced at 8.9. Republic of North Macedonia is priced at 22.
Republic of North Macedonia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Switzerland have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Republic of North Macedonia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 25% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Switzerland or Republic of North Macedonia?
Our model rates Switzerland as the most likely outcome at 86% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Switzerland vs Republic of North Macedonia?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Switzerland wins, 0 draws, 1 Republic of North Macedonia wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Republic of North Macedonia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.