Martinique vs El Salvador: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Martiniquevs
El SalvadorThe model puts Martinique at 45%. The model leans toward Martinique. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours El Salvador.
- +The head-to-head record favours Martinique (4-1-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Martinique have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- El Salvador have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Martinique have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Martinique is priced at 2.2.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Martinique at 45%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts El Salvador at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Martinique is priced at 2.2. The draw is priced at 3.45. El Salvador is priced at 2.984.
Martinique have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. El Salvador have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Martinique have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. El Salvador have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Martinique or El Salvador?
Our model rates Martinique as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Martinique vs El Salvador?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 7 meetings: 4 Martinique wins, 1 draws, 2 El Salvador wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.