Honduras vs Jamaica: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hondurasvs
JamaicaThe model puts Honduras at 49%. The model leans toward Honduras. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Honduras.
- +The head-to-head record favours Honduras (8-3-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Honduras are on 2 wins in a row.
- Jamaica have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Honduras have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
Honduras have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Honduras are on 2 wins in a row. Jamaica have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Honduras have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. Jamaica have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Honduras is priced at 2.03. Jamaica is priced at 3.645. The market leans toward Honduras.
The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Jamaica at 24%. The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Honduras or Jamaica?
Our model rates Honduras as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Honduras vs Jamaica?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 Honduras wins, 3 draws, 4 Jamaica wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.