Guatemala vs Suriname: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Guatemalavs
SurinameThe model puts Guatemala at 50%. The model leans toward Guatemala. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Guatemala.
- −The head-to-head record favours Suriname (0-3-2).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Guatemala have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Suriname have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Guatemala is priced at 1.89.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Guatemala at 50%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Suriname at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Guatemala. Guatemala is priced at 1.89. The draw is priced at 3.6. Suriname is priced at 3.665.
Suriname have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Guatemala have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Suriname have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Guatemala or Suriname?
Our model rates Guatemala as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Guatemala vs Suriname?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 0 Guatemala wins, 3 draws, 2 Suriname wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.