← All predictions
CONCACAF Nations League

Grenada vs Bonaire: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Grenada GrenadavsBonaire Bonaire
Our predictionGrenada to win
Model score: High · 89/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Grenada at 62%. The model leans toward Grenada. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

✗Our prediction missed (predicted: Grenada · actual: Bonaire)

Win probabilities

1 · Grenada62%
Draw21%
2 · Bonaire17%
1 · GrenadaDraw2 · Bonaire
Full team comparison →
Team strength rating
Grenada
72
Bonaire
33

Recent form

GrenadaWLWLW
BonaireLLWLW

Most likely scorelines

1-014.0%
2-013.2%
1-110.0%
2-19.4%
3-08.3%
0-07.4%

Expected goals

1.88Grenada
xG
0.72Bonaire
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score43%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Grenada Bonaire

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Grenada win1.53Fair (+1.5%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0752
114104
21393
3862
443
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Grenada1.53+1.5%
1X2Bonaire5.19-0.7%
1X2Draw4.30-0.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Grenada at 62%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Bonaire at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Grenada. Grenada is priced at 1.53. The draw is priced at 4.3. Bonaire is priced at 5.19.

Bonaire have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Grenada have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Bonaire have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Grenada or Bonaire?

Our model rates Grenada as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Grenada vs Bonaire?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Grenada wins, 0 draws, 1 Bonaire wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.