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China. Champions League

Wuhan Lianzhen vs Shenzhen Eastcom Jixiang: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Wuhan Lianzhen Wuhan LianzhenvsShenzhen Eastcom Jixiang Shenzhen Eastcom Jixiang
Our predictionWuhan Lianzhen to win
Model score: Medium · 40/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Wuhan Lianzhen at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Wuhan Lianzhen42%
Draw23%
2 · Shenzhen Eastcom Jixiang35%
1 · Wuhan LianzhenDraw2 · Shenzhen Eastcom Jixiang
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Over 2.51.43+18.8%
BTTSYes1.41+14.3%
1X2Wuhan Lianzhen2.15+0.5%
1X2Draw3.85-0.2%
1X2Shenzhen Eastcom Jixiang2.50-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.51Wuhan Lianzhen
xG
1.99Shenzhen Eastcom Jixiang
Over 2.5 goals83%
Both teams to score79%
Team strength rating
Wuhan Lianzhen
69
Shenzhen Eastcom Jixiang
62

Most likely scorelines

2-17.0%
2-26.9%
3-15.8%
3-25.8%
1-15.5%
1-25.5%

Recent form

Wuhan LianzhenWWW
Shenzhen Eastcom JixiangWDW

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Wuhan Lianzhen Shenzhen Eastcom Jixiang

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Wuhan Lianzhen win2.15Fair (+0.5%)
Double chanceWuhan Lianzhen or draw—Info
Total goalsOver 2.51.43Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
01221
136642
247752
336642
424421
5221

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Wuhan Lianzhen at 42%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Shenzhen Eastcom Jixiang at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Wuhan Lianzhen is priced at 2.15. The draw is priced at 3.85. Shenzhen Eastcom Jixiang is priced at 2.5.

Wuhan Lianzhen have 3 wins in their last 3 matches. Wuhan Lianzhen are on 3 wins in a row. Shenzhen Eastcom Jixiang have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 79% for both teams to score. The model gives 83% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Wuhan Lianzhen or Shenzhen Eastcom Jixiang?

Our model rates Wuhan Lianzhen as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Wuhan Lianzhen vs Shenzhen Eastcom Jixiang?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.043.543.042.542.04
Home 2.15 Draw 3.85 Away 2.50

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.