Sichuan 318 Double Dragon vs Guangzhou Zhicheng: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sichuan 318 Double Dragonvs
Guangzhou ZhichengThe model puts Sichuan 318 Double Dragon at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Guangzhou Zhicheng.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Sichuan 318 Double Dragon have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Guangzhou Zhicheng have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Sichuan 318 Double Dragon is priced at 2.11.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sichuan 318 Double Dragon at 41%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Guangzhou Zhicheng at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Sichuan 318 Double Dragon is priced at 2.11. The draw is priced at 3.8. Guangzhou Zhicheng is priced at 2.675.
Sichuan 318 Double Dragon have 0 wins in their last 3 matches. Guangzhou Zhicheng have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 62% for both teams to score. The model gives 61% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sichuan 318 Double Dragon or Guangzhou Zhicheng?
Our model rates Sichuan 318 Double Dragon as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sichuan 318 Double Dragon vs Guangzhou Zhicheng?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.