Xinjiang Jindun vs Yulin Mobei Miners: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Xinjiang Jindunvs
Yulin Mobei MinersThe model puts Yulin Mobei Miners at 68%. The model leans toward Yulin Mobei Miners. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Yulin Mobei Miners.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Xinjiang Jindun have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Yulin Mobei Miners have 3 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Yulin Mobei Miners is priced at 1.33.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 3 |
| 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Xinjiang Jindun at 12%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Yulin Mobei Miners at 68%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Yulin Mobei Miners. Xinjiang Jindun is priced at 7.45. The draw is priced at 4.48. Yulin Mobei Miners is priced at 1.33.
Xinjiang Jindun have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Yulin Mobei Miners have 3 wins in their last 3 matches. Yulin Mobei Miners are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Xinjiang Jindun or Yulin Mobei Miners?
Our model rates Yulin Mobei Miners as the most likely outcome at 68% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Xinjiang Jindun vs Yulin Mobei Miners?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.