Xinjiang Bingchao vs Qingdao Ful: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Xinjiang Bingchaovs
Qingdao FulThe model puts Xinjiang Bingchao at 49%. The model leans toward Xinjiang Bingchao. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Qingdao Ful.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Xinjiang Bingchao have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Qingdao Ful have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Xinjiang Bingchao is priced at 1.79.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Xinjiang Bingchao at 49%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Qingdao Ful at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Xinjiang Bingchao. Xinjiang Bingchao is priced at 1.79. The draw is priced at 3.93. Qingdao Ful is priced at 3.35.
Xinjiang Bingchao have 0 wins in their last 3 matches. Qingdao Ful have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 41% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Xinjiang Bingchao or Qingdao Ful?
Our model rates Xinjiang Bingchao as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Xinjiang Bingchao vs Qingdao Ful?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.