Jiangsu Changjin vs Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Jiangsu Changjinvs
Guangdong Chenxing ChuangertThe model puts Jiangsu Changjin at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Jiangsu Changjin have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Jiangsu Changjin is priced at 2.2.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Jiangsu Changjin at 40%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Jiangsu Changjin is priced at 2.2. The draw is priced at 3.85. Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert is priced at 2.45.
Jiangsu Changjin have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 70% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Jiangsu Changjin or Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert?
Our model rates Jiangsu Changjin as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Jiangsu Changjin vs Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.