Antonio Vergara vs Turkey: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Antonio Vergaravs
TurkeyThe model puts Turkey at 47%. The model puts the draw at 39%. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Turkey have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
- Turkey is priced at 1.92.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23 | 22 | 11 | 4 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Turkey at 47%. The model puts Antonio Vergara at 14%.
The model puts the draw at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest.
Turkey have 0 wins in their last 3 matches. The model gives 24% for both teams to score.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Antonio Vergara or Turkey?
Our model rates Turkey as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Antonio Vergara vs Turkey?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.