Moise Kean vs Turkey: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Moise Keanvs
TurkeyThe model puts Turkey at 40%. The model puts the draw at 37%. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- The model sees this as a close contest.
- Turkey have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
- The model gives 26% for both teams to score.
- The model gives 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23 | 20 | 8 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Turkey at 40%. The model puts the draw at 37%. The model puts Moise Kean at 23%.
The model sees this as a close contest. The market frames this as a close contest. Turkey is priced at 2.24. Moise Kean is priced at 3.89.
Turkey have 0 wins in their last 3 matches. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The model gives 26% for both teams to score. The model gives 18% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Moise Kean or Turkey?
Our model rates Turkey as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Moise Kean vs Turkey?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.