Sebastiano Esposito vs Turkey: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sebastiano Espositovs
TurkeyThe model puts Turkey at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Turkey have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Turkey is priced at 2.04.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23 | 21 | 10 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Sebastiano Esposito at 18%. The model puts the draw at 38%. The model puts Turkey at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Sebastiano Esposito is priced at 5.04. The draw is priced at 2.37. Turkey is priced at 2.04.
Turkey have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 25% for both teams to score. The model gives 18% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sebastiano Esposito or Turkey?
Our model rates Turkey as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sebastiano Esposito vs Turkey?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.