Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Robert Lewandowski: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Bosnia and Herzegovina at 51%. The model leans toward Bosnia and Herzegovina. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
- The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals.
- The model gives 39% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Bosnia and Herzegovina at 51%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Robert Lewandowski at 17%.
Bosnia and Herzegovina is priced at 1.76. Robert Lewandowski is priced at 5.19. The market leans toward Bosnia and Herzegovina.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Bosnia and Herzegovina have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bosnia and Herzegovina or Robert Lewandowski?
Our model rates Bosnia and Herzegovina as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Robert Lewandowski?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.