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UEFA Nations League. Team vs Player

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Mateusz Zukowski: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and HerzegovinavsMateusz Zukowski Mateusz Zukowski
Our predictionBosnia and Herzegovina to win
Model score: Low · 29/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Bosnia and Herzegovina at 58%. The model leans toward Bosnia and Herzegovina. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Bosnia and Herzegovina58%
Draw32%
2 · Mateusz Zukowski11%
1 · Bosnia and HerzegovinaDraw2 · Mateusz Zukowski
Full team comparison →

Expected goals

1.57Bosnia and Herzegovina
xG
0.57Mateusz Zukowski
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score34%
Team strength rating
Bosnia and Herzegovina
69
Mateusz Zukowski
37

Most likely scorelines

1-018.6%
2-014.6%
0-011.8%
1-110.5%
2-18.2%
3-07.6%

Recent form

Bosnia and HerzegovinaDWD
Mateusz Zukowski

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Bosnia and Herzegovina Mateusz Zukowski

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Bosnia and Herzegovina win1.56Fair
Double chanceBosnia and Herzegovina or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
01272
119103
21582
3841
432
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Mateusz Zukowski8.45-0.0%
1X2Draw2.84-0.0%
1X2Bosnia and Herzegovina1.56-0.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Bosnia and Herzegovina at 58%. The model puts Mateusz Zukowski at 11%.

The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Bosnia and Herzegovina is priced at 1.56. Mateusz Zukowski is priced at 8.45. The market leans toward Bosnia and Herzegovina.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Bosnia and Herzegovina or Mateusz Zukowski?

Our model rates Bosnia and Herzegovina as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Mateusz Zukowski?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

8.877.025.183.331.48
Home 1.56 Draw 2.84 Away 8.45

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.