Ariana Khost vs Omar Zawak: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ariana Khostvs
Omar ZawakThe model puts Omar Zawak at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Ariana Khost.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Ariana Khost have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Omar Zawak have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Omar Zawak is priced at 2.41.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Ariana Khost at 36%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Omar Zawak at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. Ariana Khost is priced at 2.41. The draw is priced at 3.41. Omar Zawak is priced at 2.41.
Ariana Khost have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Omar Zawak have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 59% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ariana Khost or Omar Zawak?
Our model rates Omar Zawak as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ariana Khost vs Omar Zawak?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.