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CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Sint Maarten: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Saint Vincent and the GrenadinesvsSint Maarten Sint Maarten
Our predictionSaint Vincent and the Grenadines to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Saint Vincent and the Grenadines at 64%. The model leans toward Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

✓Our prediction was correct (predicted: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · actual: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines)

Win probabilities

1 · Saint Vincent and the Grenadines64%
Draw20%
2 · Sint Maarten16%
1 · Saint Vincent and the GrenadinesDraw2 · Sint Maarten
Full team comparison →
Team strength rating
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
75
Sint Maarten
35

Recent form

Saint Vincent and the GrenadinesWLWDW
Sint MaartenLWLWL

Most likely scorelines

1-014.3%
2-013.7%
1-19.7%
2-19.3%
3-08.8%
0-07.4%

Expected goals

1.92Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
xG
0.68Sint Maarten
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score42%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Sint Maarten

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines win1.48Fair (+1.4%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0752
114103
21493
3962
443
521

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines1.48+1.4%
1X2Sint Maarten5.57-0.6%
1X2Draw4.45-0.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Saint Vincent and the Grenadines at 64%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Sint Maarten at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines is priced at 1.48. The draw is priced at 4.45. Sint Maarten is priced at 5.57.

Sint Maarten have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Sint Maarten have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines or Sint Maarten?

Our model rates Saint Vincent and the Grenadines as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Sint Maarten?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines wins, 0 draws, 1 Sint Maarten wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.