CONCACAF Nations League

French Guiana vs Belize: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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French Guianavs

Belize

Our predictionFrench Guiana to win

Model score: Medium · 48/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model leans toward French Guiana. The model puts French Guiana at 46%. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours French Guiana.
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.

Win probabilities

1 · French Guiana46%

Draw29%

2 · Belize25%

1 · French GuianaDraw2 · Belize

Full team comparison →

Recent form

French GuianaWWWLW

BelizeLLLDW

Team strength rating

French Guiana

Belize

Most likely scorelines

1-112.0%

1-011.7%

2-19.4%

2-09.2%

0-17.6%

0-07.4%

Expected goals

1.57French Guiana

1.03Belize

Over 2.5 goals48%

Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

French Guiana Belize

Key points

French Guiana are on 3 wins in a row.
Belize have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
French Guiana have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2French Guiana win2.08Fair (+1.7%)

Double chanceFrench Guiana or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	7	8	4	1
1	12	12	6	2
2	9	9	5	2
3	5	5	3
4	2	2
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2French Guiana2.08+1.7%

1X2Draw3.22-0.2%

1X2Belize3.46-1.5%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

French Guiana have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. French Guiana are on 3 wins in a row.

Belize have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

French Guiana have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals. The model gives 51% for both teams to score.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →