Montserrat vs Turks and Caicos Islands: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Montserrat at 75%. The model leans toward Montserrat. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Montserrat have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Turks and Caicos Islands have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Montserrat is priced at 1.23.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 18 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Montserrat at 75%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Turks and Caicos Islands at 8%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Montserrat. Montserrat is priced at 1.23. The draw is priced at 5.4. Turks and Caicos Islands is priced at 12.2.
Turks and Caicos Islands have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Montserrat have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Turks and Caicos Islands have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 30% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Montserrat or Turks and Caicos Islands?
Our model rates Montserrat as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Montserrat vs Turks and Caicos Islands?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Montserrat wins, 0 draws, 1 Turks and Caicos Islands wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.