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CONCACAF Nations League

Montserrat vs Turks and Caicos Islands: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Montserrat MontserratvsTurks and Caicos Islands Turks and Caicos Islands
Our predictionMontserrat to win
Model score: High · 81/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Montserrat at 75%. The model leans toward Montserrat. Confidence: high.

✓Our prediction was correct (predicted: Montserrat · actual: Montserrat)

Win probabilities

1 · Montserrat75%
Draw17%
2 · Turks and Caicos Islands8%
1 · MontserratDraw2 · Turks and Caicos Islands
Full team comparison →
Team strength rating
Montserrat
72
Turks and Caicos Islands
33

Recent form

MontserratLWWLL
Turks and Caicos IslandsWLLLL

Most likely scorelines

2-017.6%
1-016.2%
3-012.8%
0-07.4%
2-17.4%
4-07.0%

Expected goals

2.18Montserrat
xG
0.42Turks and Caicos Islands
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score30%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Montserrat Turks and Caicos Islands

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Montserrat win1.23Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
073
11671
21872
31351
473
531

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Montserrat1.230.0%
1X2Draw5.400.0%
1X2Turks and Caicos Islands12.200.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Montserrat at 75%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Turks and Caicos Islands at 8%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Montserrat. Montserrat is priced at 1.23. The draw is priced at 5.4. Turks and Caicos Islands is priced at 12.2.

Turks and Caicos Islands have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Montserrat have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Turks and Caicos Islands have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 30% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Montserrat or Turks and Caicos Islands?

Our model rates Montserrat as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Montserrat vs Turks and Caicos Islands?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Montserrat wins, 0 draws, 1 Turks and Caicos Islands wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.