Egypt. League Cup

Zamalek vs ZED: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Zamalekvs

ZED

Our predictionZED to win

Model score: High · 64/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts ZED at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours ZED.
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.

Win probabilities

1 · Zamalek21%

Draw23%

2 · ZED55%

1 · ZamalekDraw2 · ZED

Full team comparison →

Recent form

ZamalekLDLLW

ZEDWLLWL

Team strength rating

Zamalek

ZED

Most likely scorelines

0-112.9%

1-111.6%

0-210.6%

1-29.6%

0-07.8%

1-07.0%

Expected goals

0.90Zamalek

1.66ZED

Over 2.5 goals47%

Both teams to score48%

Match DNA

Zamalek ZED

Key points

Zamalek have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
ZED have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
ZED have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score.
The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2ZED win1.63Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	13	11	6	2
1	7	12	10	5	2
2	3	5	4	2
3		2	1
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2ZED1.63+0.3%

1X2Draw3.92+0.1%

1X2Zamalek4.13-0.4%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

Zamalek have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. ZED have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

ZED have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Zamalek have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.

The model puts ZED at 55%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Zamalek at 21%.

The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →