Egypt. League Cup

Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al-Masry: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Ceramica Cleopatravs

Al-Masry

Our predictionAl-Masry to win

Model score: Low · 6/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Al-Masry at 36%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Ceramica Cleopatra.
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.

Win probabilities

1 · Ceramica Cleopatra32%

Draw31%

2 · Al-Masry36%

1 · Ceramica CleopatraDraw2 · Al-Masry

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes2.46+15.5%

1X2Ceramica Cleopatra3.09+3.2%

1X2Draw2.82-0.7%

1X2Al-Masry2.32-2.5%

BTTSNo1.46-15.5%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Ceramica CleopatraWWWWL

Al-MasryLLLWW

Most likely scorelines

1-112.6%

1-09.8%

0-19.6%

2-18.2%

1-28.1%

0-07.5%

Team strength rating

Ceramica Cleopatra

Al-Masry

Expected goals

1.31Ceramica Cleopatra

1.28Al-Masry

Over 2.5 goals48%

Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

Ceramica Cleopatra Al-Masry

Key points

Ceramica Cleopatra have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
Al-Masry have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Ceramica Cleopatra have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
Al-Masry is priced at 2.32.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Al-Masry win2.32Fair (-2.5%)

Double chanceAl-Masry or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	10	6	3
1	10	13	8	3	1
2	6	8	5	2
3	3	4	2
4		1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Ceramica Cleopatra at 32%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Al-Masry at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Ceramica Cleopatra is priced at 3.09. The draw is priced at 2.82. Al-Masry is priced at 2.32.

Ceramica Cleopatra have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Al-Masry have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.

Ceramica Cleopatra have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Ceramica Cleopatra are on 4 wins in a row. Al-Masry have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →