Asyut Petroleum vs Al Ahly Cairo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Asyut Petroleumvs
Al Ahly CairoThe model puts Al Ahly Cairo at 65%. The model leans toward Al Ahly Cairo. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Al Ahly Cairo.
- +The head-to-head record favours Al Ahly Cairo (0-1-6).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Asyut Petroleum have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Ahly Cairo have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Ahly Cairo is priced at 1.435.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Asyut Petroleum at 14%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Al Ahly Cairo at 65%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Al Ahly Cairo. Asyut Petroleum is priced at 6.38. The draw is priced at 3.925. Al Ahly Cairo is priced at 1.435.
Al Ahly Cairo have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Asyut Petroleum have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Al Ahly Cairo have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Asyut Petroleum or Al Ahly Cairo?
Our model rates Al Ahly Cairo as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Asyut Petroleum vs Al Ahly Cairo?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 7 meetings: 0 Asyut Petroleum wins, 1 draws, 6 Al Ahly Cairo wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Asyut Petroleum
- 6Magdy
- 7Younes A.
- 9Eid
- 11Abdelhamid
- 12Tarek
- 17Hamza
- 19Abbas
- 20Ahmed
- 25Ahmed
- 26El Khamisi A.
- 30Medhat
Al Ahly Cairo
- 2Marei
- 3Dari
- 4Eid A.
- 7Mohamed
- 8Reda
- 9Benjdida
- 14El Shahat
- 19Magdy
- 21Ашоори
- 24Mohamed
- 33Hamza Alaa
Match story
How the game unfoldedAl Ahly Cairo make it count (Magdy (2')). It's 0–1 at this point.
Al Ahly Cairo make it count (Benjdida (33')). It's 0–2 at this point.
Half-time score: Asyut Petroleum 0 – 2 Al Ahly Cairo.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–2)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–2)
League table
Egypt. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ittihad Alexandria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Tala'ea El-Gaish | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  Zamalek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Wadi Degla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  ZED | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.