Vigor Lamezia vs Gelbison: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vigor Lameziavs
GelbisonThe model puts Vigor Lamezia at 37%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Vigor Lamezia.
- +The head-to-head record favours Vigor Lamezia (2-1-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Vigor Lamezia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gelbison have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vigor Lamezia have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Vigor Lamezia is priced at 2.68.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Vigor Lamezia at 37%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Gelbison at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Vigor Lamezia is priced at 2.68. The draw is priced at 3.1. Gelbison is priced at 2.35.
Vigor Lamezia have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Gelbison have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Vigor Lamezia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Vigor Lamezia are on 2 wins in a row. Gelbison have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Vigor Lamezia or Gelbison?
Our model rates Vigor Lamezia as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Vigor Lamezia vs Gelbison?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Vigor Lamezia wins, 1 draws, 1 Gelbison wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.