Biellese vs Alessandria Calcio 1912: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Biellesevs
Alessandria Calcio 1912The model leans toward Biellese. The model puts Biellese at 44%. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Alessandria Calcio 1912 are on 3 wins in a row.
- Biellese have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model gives 67% for over 2.5 goals.
- The model gives 65% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
Biellese are on 2 wins in a row. Alessandria Calcio 1912 are on 3 wins in a row.
Biellese is priced at 2.08. Alessandria Calcio 1912 is priced at 3.225. The market leans toward Biellese.
The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1. The model gives 67% for over 2.5 goals. The model gives 65% for both teams to score.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Biellese or Alessandria Calcio 1912?
Our model rates Biellese as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Biellese vs Alessandria Calcio 1912?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.