ASD Villa D'Alme vs Tritium Calcio 1908: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
ASD Villa D'Almevs
Tritium Calcio 1908The model leans toward ASD Villa D'Alme. ASD Villa D'Alme have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Tritium Calcio 1908.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The model puts ASD Villa D'Alme at 49%.
- Tritium Calcio 1908 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tritium Calcio 1908 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
ASD Villa D'Alme have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Tritium Calcio 1908 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Tritium Calcio 1908 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings. ASD Villa D'Alme have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
The model puts ASD Villa D'Alme at 49%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Tritium Calcio 1908 at 27%.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 50% for both teams to score.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, ASD Villa D'Alme or Tritium Calcio 1908?
Our model rates ASD Villa D'Alme as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for ASD Villa D'Alme vs Tritium Calcio 1908?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 ASD Villa D'Alme wins, 3 draws, 2 Tritium Calcio 1908 wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.