ASD Brusaporto vs ChievoVerona: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
ASD Brusaportovs
ChievoVeronaThe model puts ChievoVerona at 53%. The model leans toward ChievoVerona. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours ChievoVerona.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- ASD Brusaporto have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- ChievoVerona have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- ASD Brusaporto have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- ChievoVerona is priced at 1.76.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts ASD Brusaporto at 23%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts ChievoVerona at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward ChievoVerona. ASD Brusaporto is priced at 3.9. The draw is priced at 3.52. ChievoVerona is priced at 1.76.
ASD Brusaporto have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. ChievoVerona have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
ASD Brusaporto have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. ChievoVerona have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, ASD Brusaporto or ChievoVerona?
Our model rates ChievoVerona as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for ASD Brusaporto vs ChievoVerona?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 ASD Brusaporto wins, 0 draws, 1 ChievoVerona wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.