Este vs ASD Caldiero Terme: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Estevs
ASD Caldiero TermeEste have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. ASD Caldiero Terme have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Este (4-3-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Este have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- The model puts Este at 40%.
- The model puts ASD Caldiero Terme at 32%.
- The model sees this as a close contest.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
Este have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. ASD Caldiero Terme have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Este have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. ASD Caldiero Terme have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
The model puts Este at 40%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts ASD Caldiero Terme at 32%.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 52% for both teams to score.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Este or ASD Caldiero Terme?
Our model rates Este as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Este vs ASD Caldiero Terme?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings: 4 Este wins, 3 draws, 1 ASD Caldiero Terme wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.