ASD Sasso Marconi vs Cittadella Vis Modena: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
ASD Sasso Marconivs
Cittadella Vis ModenaThe model puts Cittadella Vis Modena at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours ASD Sasso Marconi (3-1-0).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- ASD Sasso Marconi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cittadella Vis Modena have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- ASD Sasso Marconi have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Cittadella Vis Modena is priced at 2.1.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts ASD Sasso Marconi at 30%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Cittadella Vis Modena at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Cittadella Vis Modena. ASD Sasso Marconi is priced at 3.185. The draw is priced at 3.14. Cittadella Vis Modena is priced at 2.1.
ASD Sasso Marconi have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
ASD Sasso Marconi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. ASD Sasso Marconi are on 3 wins in a row. Cittadella Vis Modena have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, ASD Sasso Marconi or Cittadella Vis Modena?
Our model rates Cittadella Vis Modena as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for ASD Sasso Marconi vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 3 ASD Sasso Marconi wins, 1 draws, 0 Cittadella Vis Modena wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.