U.S.D. Sestri Levante 1919 vs Pistoiese: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Pistoiese at 66%. The model leans toward Pistoiese. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Pistoiese.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- U.S.D. Sestri Levante 1919 have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Pistoiese have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pistoiese is priced at 1.39.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 3 |
| 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts U.S.D. Sestri Levante 1919 at 14%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Pistoiese at 66%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Pistoiese. U.S.D. Sestri Levante 1919 is priced at 6.74. The draw is priced at 4.15. Pistoiese is priced at 1.39.
U.S.D. Sestri Levante 1919 have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Pistoiese have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Pistoiese are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, U.S.D. Sestri Levante 1919 or Pistoiese?
Our model rates Pistoiese as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for U.S.D. Sestri Levante 1919 vs Pistoiese?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.