Nocerina vs Turris: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nocerinavs
TurrisThe model puts Nocerina at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Turris (0-2-2).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Nocerina are on 2 wins in a row.
- Turris have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
- The model gives 52% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
Nocerina have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Nocerina are on 2 wins in a row. Turris have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Turris have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nocerina or Turris?
Our model rates Nocerina as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nocerina vs Turris?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 0 Nocerina wins, 2 draws, 2 Turris wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.